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3 months ago

It Is Not the Journey but the Destination: Endpoint Conditioned Trajectory Prediction

Karttikeya Mangalam Harshayu Girase Shreyas Agarwal Kuan-Hui Lee Ehsan Adeli Jitendra Malik Adrien Gaidon

It Is Not the Journey but the Destination: Endpoint Conditioned Trajectory Prediction

Abstract

Human trajectory forecasting with multiple socially interacting agents is of critical importance for autonomous navigation in human environments, e.g., for self-driving cars and social robots. In this work, we present Predicted Endpoint Conditioned Network (PECNet) for flexible human trajectory prediction. PECNet infers distant trajectory endpoints to assist in long-range multi-modal trajectory prediction. A novel non-local social pooling layer enables PECNet to infer diverse yet socially compliant trajectories. Additionally, we present a simple "truncation-trick" for improving few-shot multi-modal trajectory prediction performance. We show that PECNet improves state-of-the-art performance on the Stanford Drone trajectory prediction benchmark by ~20.9% and on the ETH/UCY benchmark by ~40.8%. Project homepage: https://karttikeya.github.io/publication/htf/

Code Repositories

inhwanbae/npsn
pytorch
Mentioned in GitHub
zhanwei-z/g2ltraj
pytorch
Mentioned in GitHub
HarshayuGirase/PECNet
Official
pytorch
Mentioned in GitHub
harshayugirase/human-path-prediction
pytorch
Mentioned in GitHub

Benchmarks

BenchmarkMethodologyMetrics
trajectory-prediction-on-ethucyPECNet
ADE-8/12: 0.29
FDE-8/12: 0.48
trajectory-prediction-on-stanford-dronePECNet
ADE-8/12 @K = 20: 9.96
FDE-8/12 @K= 20: 15.88

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