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5 months ago

SCINet: Time Series Modeling and Forecasting with Sample Convolution and Interaction

Minhao Liu; Ailing Zeng; Muxi Chen; Zhijian Xu; Qiuxia Lai; Lingna Ma; Qiang Xu

SCINet: Time Series Modeling and Forecasting with Sample Convolution and Interaction

Abstract

One unique property of time series is that the temporal relations are largely preserved after downsampling into two sub-sequences. By taking advantage of this property, we propose a novel neural network architecture that conducts sample convolution and interaction for temporal modeling and forecasting, named SCINet. Specifically, SCINet is a recursive downsample-convolve-interact architecture. In each layer, we use multiple convolutional filters to extract distinct yet valuable temporal features from the downsampled sub-sequences or features. By combining these rich features aggregated from multiple resolutions, SCINet effectively models time series with complex temporal dynamics. Experimental results show that SCINet achieves significant forecasting accuracy improvements over both existing convolutional models and Transformer-based solutions across various real-world time series forecasting datasets. Our codes and data are available at https://github.com/cure-lab/SCINet.

Code Repositories

cure-lab/SCINet
pytorch
Mentioned in GitHub
HiddeKanger/SCINet
tf
Mentioned in GitHub
Meatssauce/SCINet
tf
Mentioned in GitHub
WenjieDu/PyPOTS
Official
pytorch

Benchmarks

BenchmarkMethodologyMetrics
time-series-forecasting-on-etth1-168-1SCINet
MAE: 0.417
MSE: 0.408
time-series-forecasting-on-etth1-168-2SCINet
MAE: 0.21
MSE: 0.071
time-series-forecasting-on-etth1-24-1SCINet
MAE: 0.342
MSE: 0.3
time-series-forecasting-on-etth1-24-2SCINet
MAE: 0.127
MSE: 0.029
time-series-forecasting-on-etth1-336-1SCINet
MAE: 0.495
MSE: 0.504
time-series-forecasting-on-etth1-336-2SCINet
MAE: 0.234
MSE: 0.084
time-series-forecasting-on-etth1-48-1SCINet
MAE: 0.388
MSE: 0.361
time-series-forecasting-on-etth1-48-2SCINet
MAE: 0.154
MSE: 0.041
time-series-forecasting-on-etth1-720-1SCINet
MAE: 0.527
MSE: 0.544
time-series-forecasting-on-etth1-720-2SCINet
MAE: 0.25
MSE: 0.099
time-series-forecasting-on-etth2-168-1SCINet
MAE: 0.38
MSE: 0.342
time-series-forecasting-on-etth2-168-2SCINet
MAE: 0.311
MSE: 0.158
time-series-forecasting-on-etth2-24-1SCINet
MAE: 0.263
MSE: 0.18
time-series-forecasting-on-etth2-24-2SCINet
MAE: 0.183
MSE: 0.065
time-series-forecasting-on-etth2-336-1SCINet
MAE: 0.409
MSE: 0.365
time-series-forecasting-on-etth2-336-2SCINet
MAE: 0.329
MSE: 0.166
time-series-forecasting-on-etth2-48-1SCINet
MAE: 0.303
MSE: 0.23
time-series-forecasting-on-etth2-48-2SCINet
MAE: 0.227
MSE: 0.093
time-series-forecasting-on-etth2-720-1SCINet
MAE: 0.488
MSE: 0.475
time-series-forecasting-on-etth2-720-2SCINet
MAE: 0.429
MSE: 0.286

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