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3 months ago

Shell Theory: A Statistical Model of Reality

{Yasuyuki Matsushita Hongdong Li Ngai-Man Cheung Changhao Ren Siying Liu Wen-Yan Lin}

Shell Theory: A Statistical Model of Reality

Abstract

The foundational assumption of machine learning is that the data under consideration is separable into classes; while intuitively reasonable, separability constraints have proven remarkably difficult to formulate mathematically. We believe this problem isrooted in the mismatch between existing statistical techniques and commonly encountered data; object representations are typically high dimensional but statistical techniques tend to treat high dimensions a degenerate case. To address this problem, we develop a dedicated statistical framework for machine learning in high dimensions. The framework derives from the observation that object relations form a natural hierarchy; this leads us to model objects as instances of a high dimensional, hierarchal generative processes. Using a distance based statistical technique, also developed in this paper, we show that in such generative processes, instances of each process in the hierarchy, are almost-always encapsulated by a distinctive-shell that excludes almost-all other instances. The result is shell theory, a statistical machine learning framework in which separability constraints (distinctive-shells) are formally derived from the assumed generative process.

Benchmarks

BenchmarkMethodologyMetrics
anomaly-detection-on-assira-cat-vs-dogShell-based Anomaly (supervisered)
ROC AUC: 99.9
anomaly-detection-on-fashion-mnistShell-based Anomaly (supervised)
ROC AUC: 92.1
anomaly-detection-on-stl-10Shell-based Anomaly (supervised)
ROC AUC: 99.2
unsupervised-anomaly-detection-with-specifiedShell-Renormalized
AUC-ROC: 0.999
unsupervised-anomaly-detection-with-specified-1Shell-Renormalized
AUC-ROC: 0.617
unsupervised-anomaly-detection-with-specified-12Shell-Renormalized
AUC-ROC: 0.866
unsupervised-anomaly-detection-with-specified-15Shell-Renormalized
AUC-ROC: 0.829
unsupervised-anomaly-detection-with-specified-16Shell-Renormalized
AUC-ROC: 0.756
unsupervised-anomaly-detection-with-specified-20Shell-Renormalized
AUC-ROC: 0.997
unsupervised-anomaly-detection-with-specified-21Shell-Renormalized
AUC-ROC: 0.895
unsupervised-anomaly-detection-with-specified-24Shell-Renormalized
AUC-ROC: 0.953
unsupervised-anomaly-detection-with-specified-26Shell-Renormalized
AUC-ROC: 0.996
unsupervised-anomaly-detection-with-specified-5Shell-Renormalized
AUC-ROC: 0.999
unsupervised-anomaly-detection-with-specified-6Shell-Renormalized
AUC-ROC: 0.896
unsupervised-anomaly-detection-with-specified-7Shell-Renormalized
AUC-ROC: 0.894
unsupervised-anomaly-detection-with-specified-8Shell-Renormalized
AUC-ROC: 0.803
unsupervised-anomaly-detection-with-specified-9Shell-Renormalized
AUC-ROC: 0.740

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